Timothy Walker first heard of W. D. Gann in 2003, but at that time he didn’t know one end of a bull market from the other end of a bear. However, his background in law and communication equipped him with an excellent foundation for dissecting the forecasting and swing trading work of W.D. Gann piece by piece.
He started trading in 2006, and from mid-2007 worked on the trader’s help desk at Safety in the Market, where he had undertaken his own foundational studies in stock market trading. In 2008 he began presenting seminars for Safety in the Market and continued to do so until the end of 2012 when he relocated his operations to Thailand.
Tim's first book – How to Trade Like W. D. Gann – was initially self-published. The Gann Swing-Trading community embraced the title and his 1st Edition soon sold out. At this time Tim realized that he would prefer to concentrate his efforts on research, writing and teaching rather than deal with the complexities of self-publishing. He then contacted the Institute of Cosmological Economics and we agreed to take over the ongoing publication of his trading books and courses.
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An Exploration of the Mechanical Trading Lesson on U. S. Steel
352 Pages
Edition not known
$750.00 (New Hardcover)
Discount Price: $500.00 NEW - We are slashing our prices!! New Pricing on ALL Older Books! 50%-75% Off Our Classic Titles! A detailed analysis of the entire sequence of 322 trades from 1915-1931 presented in W.D. Gann's US Steel trading course, broken down into clear and concise rules for application in today's markets. Walker dissects Gann's methodology, reveling deeper rules than are apparent in Gann's thin explanations in his original course. This Gann Trading Course makes an intensive study of one of Gann's core lesson, called The Method for Trading the Overnight Chart. This lesson, is today published as part of the Mechanical Methods & Systems section of his Stock Market Course, and consists of 9 Rules followed by 15 years of trading examples on US Steel.
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The following trade example is an excerpt from Tim's article in the Spring 2014 edition of Trader's World Magazine:
As an example of how his method would apply today, let us consider a chart of the e-mini S&P 500 futures contract.
Gann wrote his lesson for stocks trading around 50-200, so we have to make some assumptions to adjust for a stock index trading at 1800. You would have to test these to work out the optimum numbers, but for this exercise, I am going to place stops 5 points above swing tops or below swing bottoms. Gann’s pyramiding rule was to add half the position size every so many points. I will use 50 points here. We will take an initial trade size of 2 contracts, based on Gann’s risk management rules of only risking 10% of one’s capital on any one trade, which would require a capital of $50,000.
We will assume that we have been trading the S&P for some time and simply pick up the trades from the beginning of 2014. As the New Year dawned, we would be long at around 1788 from 18 December. This trade was stopped out around 1812 on 13 January. Profit 24 points x 2 contracts = 48 points. As the system requires us to reverse positions we will be short 2 contracts at 1812 with the new stop placed above the 31 December high.
The market continued sideways for several days more. Gann was careful in such situations not to bring stops too close, so he would have left them above the 31 December high. An additional contract was sold at 1762 on 29 January.On 3 February a special rule was triggered. Gann didn’t even mention this rule at the beginning of his lesson and it is only in the trade examples that it becomes apparent. We would exit all short contracts at 1736 (total profit 178 points) and go long 2 contracts at that price.
Although the market went a fraction lower on 5 February, Gann’s rule for stops would have kept the long trade intact, and we are placed to take the full benefit of the strong rally that followed. An extra contract is bought at 1786 and another again at 1836. All 4 contracts were stopped out at 1860 on 12 March. Total profit 346 points.
Total profit on 3 trades is 572 points or $28,600. Thus the return on our $50,000 capital over the first 3 months of the year, without deductions for commissions, was 57%. But don’t forget that we are only trading with 10% of our capital in this example, so the returns on the actual “at risk” investment are much higher. If we consider that our initial investment was approximately $5,000, and we generated a $28,000 return, we actually produced 570% on our initial investment in only 3 months! Not bad for a relatively simple mechanical system…
Along with his friend Jon Kirk, Tim has begun presenting seminars to teach the principles of Gann’s swing trading as presented in his book. The seminars have been presented in Asia so far, but we are encouraging them to plan some for the US and EU. We'll be informing ICE clients of the availability of these seminars as they come up.
Tim is also working on further research into Gann’s Soybean courses and trading systems, and we hope he will continue to write more such technical explorations of Gann’s work.